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Analysis Shows Latest Operating Reserves Demand Curve Proposals Would Enhance ERCOT Resource Adequacy

July 24, 2013

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Copyright 2010-13 EnergyChoiceMatters.com
Reporting by Paul Ring • ring@energychoicematters.com

Additional options for setting parameters of an operating reserves demand curve in ERCOT would enhance resource adequacy, even at a lower minimum contingency level, an analysis conducted by The Brattle Group showed.

An earlier analysis had found that an Operating Reserves Demand Curve with a minimum contingency level of 2,300 MW (and no explicit Value Of Non-Market Actions) had been forecast to produce a reserve margin of 13.9% under a "low market response."

The latest analysis included consideration of an Operating Reserves Demand Curve with a lower minimum contingency level of 1,375 MW, but which also included a Value Of Non-Market Actions at $7,000, and a Value of Lost Load at $9,000. This design produced a reserve margin of up to 15.4%, depending on the level of market response to the Operating Reserves Demand Curve. A low market response would produce a reserve margin of 12.6%.

An analysis of an Operating Reserves Demand Curve with a lower minimum contingency level of 1,375 MW, but which also included a Value Of Non-Market Actions at the eventual SWOC of $9,000, as recently proposed by Commissioner Kenneth Anderson, was not included in the report.

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