|
|
|
|
Despite Load Growth, ERCOT Forecasts Sufficient Capacity Through 2024 (Reserve Margins Above 16% Through 2023)
ERCOT's latest Capacity, Demand and Reserves (CDR) report indicates sufficient reserve margins through 2021 despite an increase in the load forecasts
"Based on the information we have today and current planning criteria, we continue to see sufficient planning reserve margins through most of the 10-year planning horizon," said Sr. Director of System Planning Warren Lasher. That outlook shows planning reserve margins ranging from 16.9 percent to more than 20 percent in the next five years, the period that best reflects plans by owners and developers to add new generation resources.
The December 2016 CDR forecasts the following reserve margins:
Based on average weather in the past 14 years, the peak demand for summer 2017 is forecast to reach nearly 73,000 megawatts (MW), growing to more than 77,000 MW by summer 2021. The forecast includes the expected impact of a new liquefied natural gas facility currently under development on the Gulf Coast, but does not include possible impacts of the proposed addition of Lubbock Power and Light to the ERCOT system, which is being considered by the Public Utility Commission of Texas.
Current information indicates ERCOT can expect more than 82,000 MW of resource capacity for summer 2017, growing to more than 88,000 MW by summer 2021. The CDR includes all existing generation resources that have not notified ERCOT of plans to cease operations, as well as planned resources that have secured interconnection agreements to connect to the transmission grid, any necessary air permits, and water use contracts where needed. Planned resources account for nearly 3,600 MW of expected resources next year and reflect more than 10,000 MW of expected capacity by 2021.
ADVERTISEMENT Copyright 2010-16 Energy Choice Matters. If you wish to share this story, please
email or post the website link; unauthorized copying, retransmission, or republication
prohibited.
December 16, 2016
Email This Story
Copyright 2010-16 EnergyChoiceMatters.com
Reporting by Paul Ring • ring@energychoicematters.com
2017 16.9%
2018 20.2%
2019 19.6%
2020 19.5%
2021 19.0%
2022 16.7%
2023 16.0%
2024 14.6%
2025 13.2%
2026 11.7%
NEW Jobs on RetailEnergyJobs.com:
• NEW! -- Sales Associate -- Retail Energy
• NEW! -- Channel Sales Manager -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Sales/Pricing Support Coordinator
• NEW! -- Director, Wholesale & Retail Electricity Operations
• NEW! -- Director, Finance & Operations
• NEW! -- Marketing Coordinator
• NEW! -- Energy Sales Rep
• NEW! -- Sales Support Specialist -- -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Retail Energy Sales
• NEW! -- Channel Partner Manager -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Energy Sales Account Manager -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Sales Operations Analyst -- Retail Provider
• NEW! -- Indirect Sales Channel Manager -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Gas Scheduler -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Settlement Analyst -- Retail Supplier -- Houston
• NEW! -- Trade Support Manager -- Retail Supplier -- Houston
• NEW! -- Project Manager -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- RECs Trader -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Sr. Utilities Analyst -- Retail Supplier
• NEW! -- Gas Trader -- Retail Provider
• NEW! -- Manager, Mass Marketing Operations -- Retail Supplier -- Houston
• NEW! -- Manager/Director Telemarketing -- Retail Supplier -- Houston
• NEW! -- Senior EDI Analyst
• NEW! -- Indirect Sales Manager -- Retail Supplier -- Houston
• NEW! -- Digital Marketing Analyst -- Retail Supplier -- Houston
• NEW! -- Gas Scheduler II -- Retail Supplier -- Houston
|
|
|